... commodity and base metal prices. While the Chinese market plunged more than 5%, markets in ... won will boost its price competitiveness overseas. Chinas Shanghai Composite Index closed down 195.36 points or ...
Thursday, March 27, 2008
Asian Stocks Close Mixed As Pessimism About U.S. Economy Grows
Thomson Financial Europe AM at a glance share guide: Stocks mixed; oil edges up
... seems more capable of handling bad news. FOREX: The dollar was lower against major currencies ... a lacklustre performance on Wall Street overnight. Japan posted the biggest decline as the dollars ... mark revived concerns about export earnings. BONDS: Japanese government bond prices ended Wednesday morning mostly ...
Metals - Gold up as dollar flops, rebound seen after last weeks falls UPDATE
... against the euro this morning as the German Ifo business climate index in March boosted ... from over and any major falls in equity markets are likely to spark another round of ...
Orascom Cons. Inds. - OCI Dividend Payment Details
... RELEASE OCI Cash Dividend Payment Details Cairo, Egypt - 27 March 2008: Orascom Construction Industries ... The company news service from the London Stock Exchange END DIVDGGZFRNKGRZG ...
Wednesday, March 26, 2008
Credit-card crunch, other serious issues, face next president
... East where the oil comes from, the Iraq war has been going on for five ... life. Just watch the Asian and European stock markets reel and rock as a result of ...
Yen lower in Asia as market jitters ease
... weeks," said Yosuke Hosokawa, head of the forex group at Chuo Mitsui Trust Bank. Traders ... reinvigorate demand for high-yielding currencies like the Australian dollar," NAB Capital strategist John Kyriakopoulos wrote ...
Arsenal Energy Inc. Releases Year End Results
... to explore strategic alternatives for the companys Egyptian concession. The process should conclude sometime in ... of availability of qualified personnel or management, stock market volatility, the ability to access sufficient capital ...
Euro surges after Ifo data
... euro, rising energy prices and a declining stock market. It appears we should start believing the ... 0.7 per cent to SFr0.9995 against the Swiss franc. ...
Brazils stocks steady, real weakens on US economy
... SAO PAULO, March 26 (Reuters) - Brazils stock market seesawed near the unchanged mark on Wednesday ... company said it ended takeover talks with Anglo-Swiss rival Xstrata. The national currency weakened as ... emerging market assets. of the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange was 0.09 percent higher at 61,290.72 points. ...
Datang Power Announces 2007 Annual Results
... of the largest independent power producers in China. As at 31 December 2007, the Companys ... The Company has been listed on The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited and the London ... Company has been successfully listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange since December 2006. Note *: ...
Asian stocks closed mixed as US weighs on sentiment
... Singapore and Wellington were little changed but Tokyo shed 0.30 percent, Shanghai was down 0.63 ... and Bangkok was down 0.33 percent. TOKYO: Japanese share prices ended slightly lower as investors ... the face of continuing volatility on global equity markets," he said, adding "mixed economic data in ...
Asian stocks turn mixed on lackluster Wall Street; yen weighs in Tokyo UPDATE
... in Tokyo UPDATE SINGAPORE (Thomson Financial) - Stock markets across Asia pared early gains to trade ... gains are South Africa, Mexico, Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Taiwan. Investors are understandably cautious in ...
Tuesday, March 25, 2008
Euro Sees Assorted Results Versus Other Majors
... was up against the Japanese yen and Swiss franc and generally even with the dollar, ... low against British pound, with the London Stock Exchange also closed for Easter. The pair moved ...
JP Morgan ups Bear bid to $10 a share
... drop since records began in 1968. The stock market was also buoyed by reports that the ... financial stocks, because of the likelihood of Swiss bank UBS is tipped to embark on ...
Babylon Fund Does Well In Iraq
... portfolio contributed to the rebound, Godvig said, Iraqi bond yields fell, equity prices of oil ... as did banking stocks on the Iraqi stock exchange. No longer the lone foreigners on the ...
Not fast enough
... ownership, at 13 per cent, of any stock market in Europe. The country lags its peers ... hands of foreigners - the UKs Vodafone, Egypts Orascom and Hutchison Whampoa of Hong Kong. ...
City Lodge in R485m BEE deal |
... JSE listed City Lodge Hotels has concluded a ... transaction including its employees, the University of Johannesburgs School of Tourism and Hospitality and the ...
Monday, March 24, 2008
Stocks Rise on Bear Stearns News
Stocks are trading higher with investors more upbeat over a report that Bear Stearns Cos. could fetch more money than the amount set in a buyout deal a week ago.
Global oil prices down on profit taking
Commodity Online SYDNEY: Oil prices fell by $1.50 to near the $100 a barrel mark on Monday, extending last week\s deep losses as funds sought to lock in first quarter profits.
Malawi to maintain growth above 7 pct in 2008 - IMF
BLANTYRE (Reuters) - Malawis real economic growth will remain above seven percent in 2008, boosted by high tobacco prices, aid inflows and fiscal discipline, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecast on Sunday.
Saturday, March 22, 2008
Fake gold suspects denied bail in Ethiopia
ADDIS ABABA (Reuters) - Ethiopias federal court denied bail on Friday for 27 suspects in a $17 million fake gold scandal at the countrys central bank.
Banks brace for deepening financial crisis
The rapid demise of Bear Stearns threatens to sap dwindling confidence in the banking system, which has lost liquidity after the collapse of the subprime mortgage market.
Dow up 3.4% for week; is the worst over?
A rally erupts on Wall Street as some analysts say the worst of the credit crisis may be over. Citigroup jumps 11% and leads financial stocks. GE gets an upgrade, but FedEx thinks the outlook is still weak. Markets will close for Good Friday.
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Humana, Following WellPoint, Cuts Earnings Forecast
Humana's revised forecast stems from ``updated projections'' for the company's Medicare prescription drug plans, a stand-alone drug benefit sold to Americans age 65 and older. Humana has been racing UnitedHealth Group Inc., the largest seller of Medicare drug plans, to gain more members and has lowered some prices as a result, analysts said.
Humana, of Louisville, Kentucky, fell 26 percent, or $12.14, to $35.24 at 9:37 a.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. It dropped 24 percent yesterday. The industry selloff that began two days ago continued as WellPoint, UnitedHealth and Aetna Inc. also declined. Investors yesterday cut $24 billion in value from the four biggest U.S. insurers.
``Humana priced their drug plan too low in order to gain market share, and we're seeing the result of that today,'' said Sheryl Skolnick, a CRT Capital Group analyst in Stamford, Connecticut, in a telephone interview. ``They are offering a plan with zero co-pays for a 90-day supply of generics through RightSource, their mail-order. And when you tell seniors something is free, they keep coming back again and again.''
Societe Generale Says Another Employee Held by Police
The headquarters of France's second-biggest bank in La Defense, just outside Paris, were searched by police today, who took some documents, Societe Generale spokeswoman Laura Schalk said in an interview.
The latest development deepens a probe that began after the bank said in January that 31-year-old trader Jerome Kerviel amassed 50 billion euros in trades backed by fake hedges and false documents. Unwinding his bets resulted in the biggest trading loss in banking history and forced Societe Generale to replenish depleted capital.
``It's normal for the investigation to widen, and we will see where this brings us, given that many people said Kerviel could not have acted alone,'' said Arnaud Scarpaci, who helps manage about $235 million at Agilis Gestion SA in Paris. ``At an image level, it's not the best for the company.''
Societe Generale failed to follow up on 75 warnings on bets by Kerviel, independent board members concluded in a report last month. While the board has twice turned down Chairman Daniel Bouton's offer to resign, the document highlighted the shortcomings of Societe Generale's management supervision that allowed Kerviel to forge documents and emails undetected for more than two years.
Unidentified Broker
The Societe Generale employee taken into custody today is the second broker to be questioned in the Kerviel case. Moussa Bakir, a 32-year-old broker at Newedge, was questioned and released last month. Kerviel passed trades through Societe Generale's Fimat unit, which merged in January with Credit Agricole SA's futures brokerage to form Newedge.
The police are questioning the second broker, Isabelle Montagne, a spokeswoman for Paris prosecutors, said today in a telephone interview. She declined to name the broker. She said the broker was taken into custody mid-morning and would be held for 24 hours. The detention could be extended to up to 48 hours.
Kerviel, who admitted to exceeding his trading limits and faking documents to show his bets were covered by hedges, has been interrogated six times since he was incarcerated on Feb. 8. He has been charged with hacking into the bank's computers, falsifying documents and breach of trust.
Monday, March 10, 2008
Blackstone says tough conditions hit results
Under a measure known as economic net income (ENI), Blackstone earned a fourth-quarter profit of $128.2 million, or 8 cents a share, compared with a pro forma adjusted figure of $894.9 million, or 72 cents, a year ago.
Analysts polled by Reuters had expected it to report 16 cents a share.
"Lack of available financing in the U.S. and Europe for large leveraged transactions limited our transaction fees," Blackstone's Chairman and Chief Executive Stephen Schwarzman said in a statement. "Difficult market conditions in the U.S. and Europe continue in 2008 and there is little visibility on when these conditions might improve."
The company cited decreases in the value of Blackstone's portfolio investment in Financial Guaranty Insurance Company, which was hit by turmoil in the credit markets, and lower net appreciation of portfolio investments in other sectors as compared with the prior year.
ENI is net income excluding income taxes, noncash charges related to vesting of equity-based compensation and amortization of intangible assets. Blackstone prefers to focus on ENI because of the huge payouts associated with its more than $4 billion initial public offering in June.
TIPS' Yields Show Fed Has Lost Control of Inflation
The yield on the five-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security due in 2012 has been negative since Feb. 29, and traded today at minus 0.17 percent. The notes, which were first sold in 1997, have never before traded below zero. Even so, firms from Deutsche Asset Management to Vanguard Group Inc., the second- biggest U.S. mutual fund company, say TIPS are a bargain.
For the first time in a generation, money managers must come to grips with a central bank that's more intent on spurring the economy than restraining price increases. With oil above $100 a barrel, gold approaching $1,000 an ounce and the dollar at a record low against the euro, TIPS show investors aren't convinced Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke will be able to tame inflation once policy makers stop cutting interest rates.
``The way TIPS are trading now, investors believe headline inflation will stay lofty and are willing to give up the real yield for that,'' said Brian Brennan, a money manager who helps oversee $11 billion in fixed-income assets at T. Rowe Price Group Inc. based in Baltimore. Prices for the securities indicate ``a real concern of a recession and high headline inflation,'' he said.
Because TIPS pay a principal amount that rises in tandem with the consumer price index, buyers accept lower yields in a bet the inflation adjustment will make up the difference.
Volcker Fed
Investors typically determine what they are willing to receive in interest by deducting the rate of inflation expected over the life of the securities from the rate on a comparable Treasury. Investors can still earn money from TIPS with sub-zero rates because the principal rises with the CPI.
Five-year TIPS yielded 2.36 percentage points less than similar-maturity Treasuries as of 9:14 a.m. in New York. The so- called breakeven rate has risen from a four-and-a-half-month low of 1.89 percent on Jan. 23, the day after policy makers cut their target lending rate by three-quarters of a point to 3.50 percent in an emergency move.
The last time investors were so worried about faster inflation amid slowing growth, Paul A. Volcker presided over a Fed that would raise rates as high as 20 percent to end the stagflation crisis of the 1970s, according to Seth Plunkett, a bond fund manager at American Century Investment Management in Mountain View, California. The firm manages $20 billion.
Fed Forecast
Inflation ``is going to be higher than the Fed's targeted area,'' said Plunkett, whose fund owns a greater percentage of TIPS than contained in the index he uses to measure performance.
In forecasts released last month, the Fed said it expects inflation to accelerate 2.1 percent to 2.4 percent this year, and 1.7 percent to 2 percent in 2009.
TIPS have returned 6.2 percent this year, compared with 3.7 percent from regular Treasuries, according to indexes compiled by Merrill Lynch & Co. Mutual funds that specialize in inflation-linked debt attracted a net $2.87 billion in January, boosting their assets to $47.6 billion, according the latest data available from Financial Research Corp. in Boston. In all of 2007, the funds added a net $3.54 billion.
Hedge Funds Reel From Margin Calls Even on Treasuries
Since Feb. 15, at least six hedge funds, totaling more than $5.4 billion, have been forced to liquidate or sell holdings because their lenders -- staggered by almost $190 billion of asset writedowns and credit losses caused by the collapse of the subprime-mortgage market -- raised borrowing rates by as much as 10-fold with new claims for extra collateral.
While lenders are most unsettled by credit consisting of real estate and consumer debt, bankers are now attempting to raise the rates they charge on Treasuries, considered the world's safest securities, because of the price fluctuations in the bond market.
``If you have leverage, you're stuffed,'' said Alex Allen, chief investment officer of London-based Eddington Capital Management Ltd., which has $195 million invested in hedge funds for clients. He likens the crisis to a bank panic turned upside down with bankers, not depositors, concerned they won't get their money back.
The lending crackdown is the worst to hit the $1.9 trillion hedge-fund industry since Russia's debt default in 1998 roiled global credit markets and required the U.S. Federal Reserve to pressure the securities industry to arrange a $3.6 billion bailout of Greenwich, Connecticut-based Long-Term Capital Management LP. Today, hedge funds are being forced to sell assets to meet banks' margin calls, resulting in the dissolution of the funds.
``There has to be more in the next weeks,'' Allen said. ``There are people who have been hanging on by their fingernails who can't hold on much, much longer.''
`Mercy of Counterparties'
Ivan Ross, founder of Westport, Connecticut-based hedge fund Tequesta Capital Advisors, received a call from his bankers on Feb. 22 demanding he put up more money or risk losing his loans. Ross was unable to meet the margin call as the market for mortgage- backed debt seized up, preventing him from selling securities to raise the cash. Four days later, lenders liquidated his $150 million fund.
``Because it's impossible in this environment to move among dealers, you're at the mercy of counterparties,'' said the 45-year- old Ross, who has managed hedge funds for 13 years, including a stint handling mortgage-backed debt for billionaire George Soros. ``To the extent they want to shut you down, they can.''
The demise of Tequesta revealed the deathtrap for hedge funds caught in the credit maelstrom of banks selling mortgage-backed bonds as fast as they can while demanding more collateral from clients who use the securities to back loans.
Carlyle Fund
On Feb. 24, London-based Peloton Partners LLP gave up a ``night and day'' effort to stave off demands from banks, including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and UBS AG, for as much as 25 percent collateral for securities that once required 10 percent, according to investors in the fund. Peloton, run by former Goldman partners Ron Beller and Geoff Grant, liquidated the $1.8 billion ABS Fund, its largest.
The same day, about 5,000 miles (7,770 kilometers) away in Santa Fe, New Mexico, JPMorgan Chase & Co. told Thornburg Mortgage Inc. that it had defaulted on a $320 million loan because it couldn't meet a $28 million margin call, according to U.S. regulatory filings.
Thornburg, the home lender that lost 93 percent of its market value in the past year, was near collapse March 7 after it failed to meet $610 million of margin calls. Chief Executive Officer Larry Goldstone said in a statement the company fell victim to a ``panic that has gripped the mortgage financing industry.''
Repo Agreements
Carlyle Capital Corp., the debt-investment fund started by private-equity firm Carlyle Group of Washington, was suspended from trading in Amsterdam on March 7 after it couldn't meet margin calls, and its banks seized and sold assets.
``Banks are reducing exposure anywhere they can and the shortest way to do that is to cut leverage,'' said John Godden, chief executive officer of London-based hedge-fund consultant IGS AIS LLP.
Hedge funds are mostly private pools of capital whose managers participate substantially in the profits from their speculation on whether the price of assets will rise or fall.
Thursday, March 6, 2008
ECB holds rates, seen forecasting lower growth
ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet is due to comment on the competing threats of high euro zone inflation and slower growth at 1330 GMT when he holds his monthly news conference and delivers a quarterly update to the bank's economic projections.
All 72 economists polled by Reuters last week expected the ECB to keep rates on hold this month for a ninth month in a row <ECB/INT>, and the euro was little moved versus the dollar <EUR=>, despite hitting a record high of $1.5349 earlier in the day.
Economists expect ECB staff to forecast lower growth but higher inflation for this year and possibly for 2009, highlighting the Governing Council's dilemma as food and energy prices climb. It is not helped by the strong euro, which holds back inflation but also hampers growth.
Annual inflation in the 15-nation region hit a record high of 3.2 percent in January and February, dampening expectations that the ECB would soon follow other major central banks and loosen monetary policy.
Many economists believe the inflation projections will be revised up. BNP Paribas economist Ken Wattret said he expected the 2009 forecast to be raised to 1.9 or 2.0 percent from the current midpoint forecast of 1.8 percent.
Wal-Mart February same-store sales up 2.6 pct
Ambac to Sell Half the Company, Bet May Not Pay Off
Ambac said yesterday it plans to issue $1 billion of common stock, more than doubling the number of shares outstanding. The New York-based company will also offer $500 million of units that convert to shares in 2011.
Investors had anticipated Ambac would be bailed out by banks, which would backstop a capital raising of as much as $3 billion, enough to overcome record losses on subprime-mortgage debt. Instead, the company announced it would raise half that amount in a transaction that would dilute existing shareholders, sending Ambac down 19 percent in New York Stock Exchange trading.
``The new offering is highly diluting to existing shareholders,'' Jim Ryan, an insurance analyst at Morningstar Inc. said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. ``The market was looking for a backstop, to say the least.''
The sale of common stock, managed by Credit Suisse Group, Citigroup Inc., Bank of America Corp. and UBS AG, is scheduled for tonight, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Ambac fell 26 cents to $8.44 in early New York Stock Exchange composite trading. The shares have tumbled 90 percent in the past year, reducing the company's market value to $884 million.
Abandoned Plan
By proposing a sale of common shares, Ambac is reverting to a plan it abandoned in mid-January. The company announced a $1 billion sale Jan. 16, sparking a 70 percent plunge in its stock, and canceled the offering Jan. 18.
Ambac cut its dividend to 1 cent from 21 cents a share and said it will suspend writing guarantees on debt, including mortgage-backed bonds. The combined plans will probably bolster capital enough for an AAA rating, Moody's and S&P said yesterday.
Stock investors were ``expecting something different in terms of some type of a more orchestrated event that looked less like a conventional offering of common stock and more like a carefully crafted infusion from business partners,'' said Colin Glinsman, who oversees about $25 billion as chief investment officer at Oppenheimer Capital in New York.
Credit-default swaps tied to Ambac's AAA rated insurance unit rose 38 basis points to 513 basis points from 475 basis points before the announcement, according to CMA Datavision in London. A basis point on a credit-default swap contract protecting $10 million of debt from default for five years is equivalent to $1,000 a year.
CDO Losses
Credit-default swaps are financial instruments based on bonds and loans that are used to speculate on a company's ability to repay debt. They pay the buyer face value in exchange for the underlying securities or the cash equivalent should a borrower fail to adhere to its debt agreements. A rise indicates deterioration in the perception of credit quality; a decline, the opposite.
Ambac, its larger competitor MBIA Inc., and the rest of the industry stumbled after expanding beyond municipal insurance to guarantees on collateralized debt obligations that have since tumbled in value. Bond insurers with AAA ratings have guaranteed $2.4 trillion of debt.
The loss of Ambac's top rating would cast doubt on $556 billion of municipal and asset-backed securities insured by the company, forcing some investors to sell the debt and others to reduce their holdings.
Tuesday, March 4, 2008
Bernanke Urges Banks to Forgive Portion of Mortgages
``Efforts by both government and private-sector entities to reduce unnecessary foreclosures are helping, but more can, and should, be done,'' Bernanke said in a speech in Orlando, Florida today. ``Principal reductions that restore some equity for the homeowner may be a relatively more effective means of avoiding delinquency and foreclosure.''
Bernanke's call goes beyond the stance of the Bush administration and previous Fed comments. By comparison, the central bank's Feb. 27 report to Congress called for lenders to ``pursue prudent loan workouts'' through means such as modifying mortgage terms and deferring payments.
``Delinquencies and foreclosures likely will continue to rise for a while longer,'' Bernanke said in the comments to the Independent Community Bankers of America. ``Supply-demand imbalances in many housing markets suggest that some further declines in house prices are likely.''
Subprime borrowers are about to see their mortgage rates increase more than 1 percentage point, he said. ``Declines in short-term interest rates and initiatives involving rate freezes will reduce the impact somewhat, but interest-rate resets will nevertheless impose stress on many households.''
`Vigorous Response'
In the past, homeowners could refinance, though that option is now ``largely'' gone because sales of bonds backed by subprime mortgages ``have virtually halted,'' Bernanke said. ``This situation calls for a vigorous response.''
Bernanke didn't comment in his speech text on the outlook for the economy or interest rates. Traders expect the Federal Open Market Committee to lower the benchmark rate by 0.75 percentage point by or at the panel's next meeting on March 18, based on futures prices.
Bernanke signaled in congressional testimony last week that the Fed is prepared to lower rates again even amid signs of accelerating inflation.
Yesterday, the Fed and other regulators sent letters to institutions they supervise, encouraging the banks to report on their efforts to modify mortgages at risk of default.
``This will make it easier for regulators, the mortgage industry, lawmakers and homeowners to assess the effectiveness of these efforts,'' Fed Governor Randall Kroszner said in a statement yesterday.
Foreclosures Climb
The number of U.S. homeowners entering foreclosure rose 75 percent in 2007, with more than 1 percent in some stage of foreclosure during the year, according to RealtyTrac Inc. of Irvine, California. For the year, more than 2.2 million default notices, auction notices and bank repossessions were reported on about 1.3 million properties.
``Lenders tell us that they are reluctant to write down principal,'' Bernanke said. ``They say that if they were to write down the principal and house prices were to fall further, they could feel pressured to write down principal again.''
The Fed chairman countered that by reducing the amount of the loan, this ``may increase the expected payoff by reducing the risk of default and foreclosure.''
MGIC Plans Stock Sale to Bolster Mortgage Insurance
Part of the money raised will be used to boost sales, the Milwaukee-based company said late yesterday in a statement. MGIC plans to decide on the size of the stock offering by ``mid to late March,'' and the company may consider other ways of raising capital, it said.
MGIC needs to raise capital to avoid a downgrade of its claims-paying ability after a record fourth-quarter loss of $1.47 billion, Fitch Ratings said Feb. 25. The insurer said Feb. 13 it hired an adviser to help raise money.
Canada Cuts Rate a Half Point, Signals More Is Needed
Mark Carney, in his first decision as governor, cut the target rate for overnight loans between commercial banks to 3.5 percent, the lowest since March 2006. Thirteen of 26 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News predicted the move.
``Further monetary stimulus is likely to be required in the near term,'' the central bank said today in a statement from Ottawa. Signs of economic slowdown in Canada are ``materializing and, in some respects, intensifying.''
Tumbling exports to the U.S. will limit 2008 economic growth to a seven-year low of 1.8 percent, the central bank says, and have erased the country's broad trade surplus for the first time since 1999. The bigger rate cut today also helps catch up with moves this year by the U.S. Federal Reserve, and may slow the Canadian dollar's advance that has battered manufacturers.
``There are clear signs that the U.S. economy is likely to experience a deeper and more prolonged slowdown than had been projected,'' which will have ``significant spillover effects on the global economy,'' the Bank of Canada said today.
Canada's decision comes two days before meetings of the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank, where economists predict policy makers will keep rates unchanged.
Further Cuts
``With further rate cuts clearly needed to insure against the downside risks from a rapidly softening U.S. economy, and since monetary policy acts with a lag, we see no reason for the Bank of Canada to wait,'' Jacqui Douglas, economics strategist at TD Securities in Toronto, said before the decision.
The Fed is expected to cut borrowing costs again on March 18. Canada's benchmark is now half a point greater than that of the U.S., narrowing what was the biggest gap since June 2004. That premium has helped keep Canada's currency close to a record high.
The currency rose to a record 90.58 Canadian cents per U.S. dollar on Nov. 7 and has gained 26 percent in three years. Today it weakened 0.3 percent to 99.32 Canadian cents per U.S. dollar at 9:19 a.m. in Toronto.